Space-time forecast calibration
Comparing a transformer with simpler forecast corrections using synthetic data.
What I did
I built a synthetic-data comparison with statistical baselines, a NumPy reference, and a PyTorch transformer.
Result: The repository and demo page show the experiment setup and results.
Tools
- Python
- NumPy
- PyTorch
- Transformers
- Forecast calibration
The results use synthetic data, not real-world climate tests; data-loading code does not show operational forecast accuracy.
Project gallery
Synthetic demonstration figures; these do not show field performance. 9 images. Select an image to view it full size.
Technical details
Independent portfolio demonstration
A complex forecast model needs to be compared with simpler methods.
- Create a synthetic forecast-correction task.
- Compare the transformer with statistical corrections.
- Publish the tests, measurements, and results.